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Red60
808920.9
702217.5
270222.4
Blue77
490318.4
461710.0
697824.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69562040801006077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#14
22.40.0
22.222.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
blue by 1.9
24.30.1
24.224.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
20.90.0
20.720.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 2.5
4903
#15
18.40.1
18.318.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
Third
7022
#16
17.50.0
17.717.7
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
red by 7.5
4617
#20
10.00.1
9.910.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.2