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Red93
587010.8
494633.6
467835.0
Blue76
588526.0
495111.4
490730.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8973204060801001201409376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
34.735.0
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 4.8
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
Second
33.60.3
33.333.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End2.4
red by 7.6
26.00.0
26.126.0
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Third
5870
#20
10.80.3
10.610.8
Auto1.1
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 0.6
4951
#31
11.40.0
11.511.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End0.9