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Red52
490730.2
467835.0
54085.8
Blue49
494015.6
587010.8
699219.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864020601001201401605249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.3
34.132.8
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 15.3
6992
#19
19.60.5
16.416.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Second
30.21.3
29.928.6
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
red by 14.6
4940
#11
15.60.5
12.613.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
5408
#28
5.81.3
8.16.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End0.8
blue by 5.0
5870
#20
10.80.5
12.613.1
Auto1.1
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed