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Red39
568912.5
77218.2
67259.7
Blue60
58348.2
95278.7
490730.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31540204060801003960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#13
18.20.6
14.615.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 12.0
30.20.4
29.428.9
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
Second
5689
#23
12.50.5
9.39.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
red by 3.9
9527
#17
8.70.2
8.78.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Third
6725
#29
9.70.5
7.07.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.2
red by 1.4
5834
#27
8.20.4
7.97.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned