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Red65
494633.6
494015.6
124610.8
Blue49
467835.0
95278.7
67259.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59522030407080901006549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.8
33.234.0
Auto11.1
Teleop20.0
End2.4
blue by 1.4
35.00.1
31.731.8
Auto14.6
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Second
4940
#11
15.60.8
13.414.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 5.9
6725
#29
9.70.1
8.58.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Third
1246
#25
10.80.8
6.16.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End0.4
red by 2.1
9527
#17
8.70.1
7.87.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned