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Red63
55967.3
888424.3
77218.2
Blue34
687512.1
587010.8
468814.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47401020306070806334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.4
20.622.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End2.5
red by 9.7
4688
#12
14.60.2
14.214.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Second
772
#13
18.21.4
14.315.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 6.0
6875
#18
12.10.2
9.89.6
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
5596
#30
7.31.4
7.18.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 3.6
5870
#20
10.80.2
13.112.9
Auto1.1
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed