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Red68
588526.0
492024.1
375615.1
Blue50
373919.9
568912.5
263416.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7045204060801001206850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.5
22.422.9
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
red by 6.2
19.90.3
18.418.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
Second
24.10.5
25.526.0
Auto10.6
Teleop13.1
End0.5
red by 8.0
2634
#14
16.20.3
13.313.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Third
3756
#22
15.10.5
12.412.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.3
red by 2.6
5689
#23
12.50.3
12.212.0
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned