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Red54
124610.8
375615.1
77218.2
Blue57
966314.7
687512.1
588526.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395720801005457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#13
18.21.1
15.516.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 7.9
26.00.5
23.724.1
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Second
3756
#22
15.11.1
13.514.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.3
red by 0.4
9663
#15
14.70.5
14.214.6
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Third
1246
#25
10.81.1
8.39.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End0.4
blue by 1.3
6875
#18
12.10.5
11.912.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed