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Red102
490730.2
495111.4
588526.0
Blue65
808120.7
616217.2
492024.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72682040608010012014010265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.8
29.230.1
Auto14.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
red by 6.1
24.10.1
24.124.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.1
End0.5
Second
26.00.8
25.025.9
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.5
red by 5.3
20.70.1
20.620.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Third
4951
#31
11.40.8
10.511.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 5.7
6162
#21
17.20.1
17.117.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End0.7