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Red84
124610.8
77218.2
888424.3
Blue56
494015.6
285216.8
613515.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565102040801001201408456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.7
23.424.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End2.5
red by 7.6
2852
#24
16.80.2
16.616.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Second
772
#13
18.20.7
17.217.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 2.5
4940
#11
15.60.2
15.415.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
1246
#25
10.80.7
9.810.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End0.4
blue by 4.2
6135
#10
15.00.2
14.815.0
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3