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Red85
247128.4
184414.0
273310.1
Blue65
237417.2
263513.1
404326.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62603040507080901008565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.4
28.928.5
Auto4.2
Teleop20.4
End3.8
red by 1.7
4043
#17
26.70.1
26.826.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End4.6
Second
1844
#10
14.00.6
14.714.1
Auto-4.2
Teleop16.4
End1.8
blue by 3.2
17.20.1
16.816.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End-0.1
Third
2733
#20
10.10.4
10.610.2
Auto2.1
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 3.0
13.10.1
12.712.7
Auto0.3
Teleop8.2
End4.6