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Red59
404326.7
252124.9
184414.0
Blue108
36369.4
263513.1
247128.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7842010015059108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#17
26.70.5
32.431.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End4.6
blue by 1.7
28.43.2
22.725.8
Auto4.2
Teleop20.4
End3.8
Second
24.90.5
24.824.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.2
End3.2
red by 11.8
13.13.2
10.713.9
Auto0.3
Teleop8.2
End4.6
Third
1844
#10
14.05.7
14.08.3
Auto-4.2
Teleop16.4
End1.8
red by 4.6
9.43.2
9.212.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed