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Red6
237417.2
263513.1
44443.4
Blue55
646513.7
59707.8
247128.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42580100200300400500600700655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.22.7
18.716.0
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End-0.1
blue by 11.2
28.40.1
25.825.7
Auto4.2
Teleop20.4
End3.8
Second
13.12.7
11.79.1
Auto0.3
Teleop8.2
End4.6
blue by 0.6
6465
#21
13.70.1
16.316.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End1.1
Third
4444
#18
3.44.4
9.55.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop5.3
End-1.0
blue by 4.4
5970
#19
7.80.1
8.58.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed