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Red25
273310.1
237417.2
59707.8
Blue100
184414.0
644329.2
669618.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276602040608010012014025100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.7
13.512.8
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End-0.1
blue by 12.0
29.21.7
28.330.0
Auto5.9
Teleop20.2
End3.1
Second
2733
#20
10.10.7
9.18.4
Auto2.1
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 8.1
18.21.7
17.819.5
Auto1.9
Teleop15.6
End0.7
Third
5970
#19
7.80.7
6.65.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 6.2
1844
#10
14.02.9
9.912.8
Auto-4.2
Teleop16.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed