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Red51
184414.0
367423.5
44443.4
Blue90
404326.7
247128.4
252124.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37980501502005190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#1DQ
23.50.3
22.923.2
Auto2.2
Teleop18.9
End2.4
blue by 4.9
28.41.1
25.824.8
Auto4.2
Teleop20.4
End3.8
Second
1844
#10
14.00.5
8.38.8
Auto-4.2
Teleop16.4
End1.8
blue by 12.7
4043
#17
26.71.1
31.930.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End4.6
Third
4444
#18
3.46.3
3.49.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop5.3
End-1.0
blue by 21.5
24.91.1
24.323.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed