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Red50
644328.7
95677.1
142521.7
Blue35
237414.0
25505.7
281128.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695802040801001205035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.7
29.028.3
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End1.4
blue by 0.2
28.91.3
34.132.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.1
End4.1
Second
21.70.7
22.221.5
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 7.6
2374
#16
14.01.3
11.310.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
9567
#13
7.10.7
9.79.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 1.4
2550
#18
5.71.3
8.87.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed