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Red34
25505.7
263510.2
466212.9
Blue38
142521.7
154018.9
99900.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30520204060801003438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.3
12.512.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 8.8
21.70.3
21.521.2
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
Second
10.20.3
9.69.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 8.7
18.90.3
22.121.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Third
2550
#18
5.70.3
7.57.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
red by 4.9
9990
#14
0.80.5
-1.4-1.9
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed