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Red22
9555.7
273311.6
7495.5
Blue59
466212.9
142521.7
237414.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26530204060801001202259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.3
13.212.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 10.0
21.71.0
21.222.2
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
Second
955
#20
5.70.3
6.66.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 8.3
2374
#16
14.01.0
10.511.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
749
#19
5.50.3
6.96.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 7.4
12.91.0
12.813.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed