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Red34
237414.0
95677.1
644328.7
Blue51
154018.9
466212.9
703414.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6160203040507080903451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.71.7
30.729.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End1.4
red by 9.8
18.90.2
23.723.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Second
2374
#16
14.01.7
13.011.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 0.6
7034
#12
14.60.2
18.518.3
Auto8.1
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Third
9567
#13
7.11.7
11.49.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 5.7
12.90.2
11.911.7
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed