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Red45
634311.6
466212.9
263510.2
Blue46
273311.6
46927.7
95713.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060804546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.2
12.612.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 0.1
957
#3
13.00.2
13.013.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
Second
11.60.2
11.311.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.6
Level
11.60.2
11.611.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Third
10.20.2
10.010.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 2.5
4692
#15
7.70.2
7.77.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5