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Red30
644313.0
154015.5
84711.0
Blue21
96008.6
27339.2
46627.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310102040506070803021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
15.53.3
16.913.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 6.3
2733
#24
9.21.5
11.09.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Second
6443
#14
13.03.3
13.510.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End1.5
red by 4.4
9600
#29
8.65.2
12.87.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Third
847
#9
11.03.3
9.56.2
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End2.5
red by 3.3
4662
#20
7.71.6
9.88.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed