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Red5
96135.8
59207.9
94386.8
Blue33
41274.5
683110.1
943018.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273301020304050533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5920
#21
7.92.2
10.78.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 10.6
18.50.0
8.08.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
Second
9438
#16
6.82.2
8.05.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 3.3
6831
#26
10.10.0
11.811.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Third
9613
#30
5.82.2
6.64.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 1.3
4127
#31
4.50.0
9.39.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed