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Red10
46627.7
59207.9
669610.0
Blue53
448824.2
94386.8
27339.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2234010304050601053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#27
10.01.3
7.76.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 14.2
24.22.0
15.617.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Second
5920
#21
7.91.3
8.47.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 1.3
2733
#24
9.22.0
8.310.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Third
4662
#20
7.71.3
5.34.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.1
red by 0.9
9438
#16
6.82.0
5.87.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned