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Red40
943018.5
135914.1
26359.9
Blue39
546812.1
367424.5
683110.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27440102040506070804039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.1
8.07.9
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
blue by 6.0
24.50.1
14.614.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Second
1359
#13
14.10.1
9.59.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 1.9
5468
#23
12.10.1
11.511.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
2635
#18
9.90.1
9.09.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 0.2
6831
#26
10.10.1
11.811.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed