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Red68
59207.9
281125.6
40617.8
Blue9
94386.8
41274.5
84711.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4618010304050607080689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.7
22.123.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 14.6
847
#9
11.01.2
6.85.6
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Second
5920
#21
7.91.7
8.09.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
red by 1.1
9438
#16
6.81.2
7.66.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Third
4061
#11
7.81.7
7.99.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End1.6
red by 3.3
4127
#31DQ
4.51.2
5.24.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed