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Red14
29158.3
956715.2
41274.5
Blue14
321814.0
683110.1
59707.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294501020405060701414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9567
#10
15.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 1.2
14.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Second
2915
#28
8.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End1.3
blue by 1.8
6831
#26
10.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Third
4127
#31
4.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 2.6
5970
#25
7.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed