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Red69
448824.2
634311.7
644313.0
Blue53
367424.5
669610.0
956715.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393310205060706953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.22.7
18.120.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 0.2
24.52.5
16.519.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Second
6443
#14
13.02.7
10.012.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 2.2
9567
#10
15.22.5
8.310.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
6343
#15
11.72.7
6.49.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 1.7
6696
#27
10.02.5
5.58.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed