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Red49
634311.7
321814.0
943018.5
Blue25
669610.0
135914.1
27339.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403110205060704925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.4
12.213.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
red by 4.4
1359
#13
14.10.6
10.19.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Second
14.01.5
15.917.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.6
red by 4.0
6696
#27
10.00.6
8.07.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Third
6343
#15
11.71.4
7.38.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 2.5
2733
#24
9.20.6
11.010.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed