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Red44
292614.2
40617.8
943018.5
Blue21
683110.1
703419.8
29158.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324201020506070804421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.1
13.614.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
blue by 1.3
19.81.6
18.817.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End0.9
Second
2926
#19
14.21.1
10.011.1
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
red by 4.1
6831
#26
10.11.7
9.78.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Third
4061
#11
7.81.1
6.77.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 0.5
2915
#28
8.31.7
8.77.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed