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Red34
703419.8
448824.2
135914.1
Blue13
74913.3
40617.8
96135.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49320204060803413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.9
15.514.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 11.0
749
#8
13.36.3
12.86.6
Auto6.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Second
19.80.9
16.015.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End0.9
red by 12.0
4061
#11
7.82.6
13.010.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End1.6
Third
1359
#13
14.10.9
10.79.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 8.3
9613
#30
5.82.6
9.26.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed