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Red30
27339.2
96135.8
59207.9
Blue44
292614.2
448824.2
321814.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163040801003044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#24
9.20.0
9.69.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 15.1
24.20.6
23.422.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Second
5920
#21
7.90.0
8.28.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 6.3
2926
#19
14.20.6
13.312.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Third
9613
#30
5.80.0
5.85.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 8.2
14.00.6
15.014.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed