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Red55
74913.3
703419.8
546812.1
Blue45
956715.2
281125.6
94386.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553204060805545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.7
18.519.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End0.9
blue by 5.8
25.60.1
24.324.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End4.8
Second
749
#8
13.30.7
11.111.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 2.0
9567
#10
15.20.1
15.515.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
5468
#23
12.10.7
11.712.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
red by 5.3
9438
#16
6.80.1
6.96.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsMissed