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Red34
40617.8
956715.2
25508.7
Blue7
9558.6
46627.7
59707.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303801020506070347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9567
#10
15.26.2
14.48.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 6.7
955
#17
8.62.9
15.412.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Second
2550
#22
8.71.0
8.37.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End2.9
red by 1.0
4662
#20
7.72.9
8.25.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Third
4061
#11
7.81.0
10.59.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End1.6
red by 0.7
5970
#25
7.12.9
9.66.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed