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Red59
281125.6
448824.2
25508.7
Blue63
669610.0
367424.5
255721.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645840507080905963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
25.325.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 1.2
24.50.2
23.623.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Second
24.20.1
23.923.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 3.1
21.10.2
20.220.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
2550
#22
8.70.1
8.38.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End2.9
blue by 1.3
6696
#27
10.00.2
9.19.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5