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Red75
281125.6
448824.2
25508.7
Blue51
634311.7
135914.1
703419.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6648204060801007551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
25.225.5
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 5.8
19.80.1
19.719.8
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End0.9
Second
24.20.4
23.824.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 10.2
1359
#13
14.10.1
13.914.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Third
2550
#22
8.70.4
8.38.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End2.9
blue by 3.0
6343
#15
11.70.1
11.611.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End2.1