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Red71
154015.5
943018.5
683110.1
Blue18
321814.0
59207.9
644313.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44392060807118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.7
17.117.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
red by 4.5
14.00.5
14.413.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Second
1540
#12
15.50.7
14.014.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 2.4
6443
#14
13.00.4
13.312.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
6831
#26
10.10.8
8.59.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 2.3
5920
#21
7.90.4
8.27.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9