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Red95
281125.6
448824.2
25508.7
Blue61
154015.5
943018.5
683110.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64432060809561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.6
24.625.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 7.1
18.50.4
17.818.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
Second
24.20.6
23.323.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 8.8
1540
#12
15.50.4
14.715.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Third
2550
#22
8.70.6
7.78.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End2.9
blue by 1.4
6831
#26
10.10.4
9.39.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7