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Red61
683110.1
943018.5
154015.5
Blue61
9558.6
292614.2
74913.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493610203040607080906161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.2
18.118.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
red by 4.3
2926
#19
14.20.6
13.614.2
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Second
1540
#12
15.50.2
15.115.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 2.2
749
#8
13.30.6
12.713.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Third
6831
#26
10.10.2
9.79.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 1.6
955
#17
8.60.6
8.08.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6