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Red75
37128.9
204630.9
252136.2
Blue71
404330.4
367427.2
7536.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8768204060801001201407571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.2
36.236.0
Auto16.9
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 5.8
30.40.2
30.230.3
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Second
30.90.2
31.030.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End3.2
red by 3.8
27.20.2
27.027.1
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Third
3712
#18
8.90.2
8.98.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 2.2
753
#26
6.70.2
6.56.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.8