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Red47
74912.8
367427.2
59754.0
Blue57
237410.1
646510.3
252136.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455203040506070804757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.1
24.824.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
blue by 9.0
36.21.4
24.826.2
Auto16.9
Teleop17.3
End2.0
Second
749
#11
12.80.1
12.612.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
red by 2.5
6465
#21
10.31.4
9.210.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Third
5975
#25
4.00.2
8.18.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End2.0
blue by 6.0
10.11.4
10.011.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed