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Red11
646510.3
59754.0
7536.7
Blue53
135912.9
853210.2
237410.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334010203050601153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#21
10.32.8
10.77.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 2.6
1359
#13
12.90.1
12.712.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Second
753
#26
6.72.8
12.09.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.8
blue by 3.6
8532
#14
10.20.2
10.910.7
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Third
5975
#25
4.02.8
8.35.5
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End2.0
blue by 6.0
10.10.2
11.511.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned