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Red57
37128.9
135912.9
367427.2
Blue59
404330.4
99714.4
84718.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5255406070805759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.5
24.124.6
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
blue by 3.2
30.41.2
19.620.8
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Second
1359
#13
12.90.5
13.814.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 5.2
847
#10
18.00.7
13.514.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
3712
#18
8.90.9
11.011.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 5.5
997
#16
14.41.2
14.816.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed