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Red56
646510.3
404330.4
30247.6
Blue17
29157.8
853210.2
247116.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35391020305060705617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.1
20.822.9
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 13.6
16.81.9
17.015.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
6465
#21
10.32.1
8.810.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
red by 0.1
8532
#14
10.21.9
10.28.4
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Third
3024
#27
7.62.1
2.94.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 0.2
2915
#17
7.81.2
7.76.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed