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Red20
36735.6
68456.4
646510.3
Blue96
412519.8
247116.8
367427.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197204060801002096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#21
10.30.3
10.19.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 16.9
27.20.7
25.225.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Second
6845
#19
6.40.3
6.56.2
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 13.4
19.81.0
18.419.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
Third
3673
#23
5.60.3
6.96.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 11.2
16.81.0
15.116.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed