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Red45
367427.2
95512.4
363612.1
Blue59
204630.9
404330.4
59754.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574420804559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.21.3
24.523.1
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
blue by 3.8
30.91.2
19.320.5
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End3.2
Second
955
#5
12.41.3
8.67.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
blue by 18.0
30.41.2
13.414.6
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Third
3636
#24
12.12.2
16.914.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 8.0
5975
#25
4.01.2
8.49.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed