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Red34
95512.4
99714.4
154019.0
Blue46
299013.5
135912.9
237410.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060801001203446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
19.00.3
18.217.9
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
red by 5.5
2990
#15
13.50.1
12.913.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Second
997
#16
14.40.3
13.713.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
red by 1.5
1359
#13
12.90.1
12.312.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Third
955
#5
12.40.3
11.611.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
red by 2.3
10.10.1
9.59.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.1