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Red43
84718.0
36735.6
289812.1
Blue71
853210.2
247116.8
363612.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394120305060704371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#10
18.00.1
17.918.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 1.3
16.80.0
16.116.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
2898
#20
12.10.1
12.012.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End0.4
Level
3636
#24
12.10.0
11.411.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Third
3673
#23
5.60.1
5.45.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 4.7
8532
#14
10.20.0
9.59.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6