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Red53
644325.8
7538.6
95718.5
Blue43
646516.3
956714.4
943019.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5944020801005343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.1
25.425.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End1.4
red by 6.1
9430
#15
19.70.1
19.119.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Second
957
#13
18.50.1
18.318.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 2.1
6465
#28
16.30.1
8.68.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
753
#23
8.60.1
7.97.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 5.8
9567
#27
14.40.1
14.214.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed