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Red90
469211.9
404333.6
252142.2
Blue38
154027.1
273315.1
466214.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions943602060801201409038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.5
37.937.3
Auto16.7
Teleop22.8
End2.7
red by 15.1
27.10.1
19.119.0
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
Second
33.60.5
32.031.4
Auto14.3
Teleop16.8
End2.5
red by 18.5
2733
#12
15.10.1
10.310.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Third
4692
#20
11.90.5
8.27.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 2.6
14.50.1
10.210.1
Auto7.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsEarned