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Red15
41274.4
960012.8
289812.0
Blue40
26359.9
237416.6
255014.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2634010203040506070801540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9600
#30
12.80.6
8.88.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 3.8
2374
#11
16.60.3
10.010.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Second
2898
#19
12.00.6
11.310.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 2.1
2550
#16
14.10.3
10.110.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Third
4127
#36
4.40.6
4.23.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.0
End0.5
blue by 5.5
2635
#29
9.90.3
10.110.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed